Predicting the Economic Development in Early Childhood Education: The Case of Four Federal Districts of Russia
Abstract
This paper provides a review of Russian and international studies devoted to early childhood education policies, substantiating the need to forecast the demand for preschool education. Data on 2008–2018 preschool education in Central, Ural, Northwestern, and Volga Federal Districts is analyzed, and predictions regarding the development of early childhood education in the specified regions are made, using Sergey Belyakov’s model, for the 2019–2031 period. The following indicators are forecasted for each region: the number of children aged 0–7; the number of preschool students; the ratio of potential enrollment to kindergarten capacity; the student–teacher ratio in kindergartens; and the demand for preschool teachers.